FLASHNEWS:

AKD Securities Limited – AKD Daily (01 March 2023)

Karachi, March 01, 2023 (PPI-OT): Pakistan Strategy – Feb’23 Market Review and Outlook

While the KSE-100 index closed down by a meagre 163 points or down 0.40%MoM, the bands it traded between were as wide as 2,600 points.

Major themes during the month were unveiling of the PkR170bn mini-budget, gas price revisions and cutoff yields reaching historic highs of 19.95% for the 3M paper in latest auction.

We expect the MPC to increase policy rates by at least 200bps, without ruling out an even higher hike in the country’s benchmark interest rates when it meets on Thursday, predicated on heightened inflation.

Cement sector led the way during the month with the sector returning ~4.3% over the course of Feb’23 – making it one of the best performing sectors during the period under review.

We expect market direction to be dictated by the impending staff-level agreement with the IMF, which will hopefully be followed by inflows from friendly partners.