FLASHNEWS:

AKD Securities Limited – AKD Daily (December 30, 2022)

Karachi, December 30, 2022 (PPI-OT): Pakistan Fertilizer: Urea offtakes set to post all-time highs

Urea sales for Nov’22 clocked in at 583.1k MT, taking 1MCY22 offtakes to 5.9mn MT, up by 4% compared to SPLY. We expect CY22 to close with north of 6.4mn MT of urea sold in the year, which would culminate into an all-time high for the nutrient.

Company wise, FFC’s urea offtake clocked in at 2.2mn MT in 11MCY22 while EFERT’s sales for the month fell by 19%YoY, clocking in at 1.7mn MT sold in the year.

DAP sales recorded a significant jump in Nov’22, increasing by 231%MoM. After posting 236.4k MT sold for the month, DAP sales for 11MCY22 have clocked in at 1.0mn MT, which is a decline of 41%YoY.

We continue our liking for the sector due to stable dynamics of fertilizer industry, reasonable pass on ability and attractive dividend yield, where EFERT and FFC are our top picks.